Real Estate Archives

Why Canadian Homeowners Aren’t Selling

Blogs / Amy / 8 April 2023 / BMO, Canada, Canadian real estate, Real Estate, real estate market, rising interest rates, toronto

Why Canadian Homeowners Aren’t Selling There hasn’t been the usual rush of vendors at Canada’s popular Spring market thus far. Investors may have a greater issue than slow sales, BMO Capital Markets said. They point to many causes but ultimately conclude there is no incentive to sell. Less than a year after the Canadian real estate market started falling, the government is implementing a series of stimulus measures. Homeowners in Canada aren’t rushing to put their properties on the market Most Canadian homeowners wait until the spring market to put their home up for sale, but activity has been modest thus far. Toronto (-44%) and Vancouver (-34%), two market leaders, decreased in new listings in March. Although data from other areas has yet to be reported, brokers from throughout the nation say the data from the middle of the month will reveal that sellers were limited in all markets. Toronto may have a greater problem than slow sales, according to BMO economist Robert Kavcic. Investors, he said, should be aware that last month was the region’s slowest for new listings since 2001. Following are some of his observations that might explain the slowdown: They are not obligated to sell in such a poor market. This is not a recession, with its accompanying layoffs and forced home sales, but rather a correction in asset prices. As a result, most homeowners in today’s market aren’t under significant payment pressure. As a result of OSFI’s buyer stress testing, no transactions were ever forced. People are remaining put because of the high price of relocating or trade. The rental sector provides solid returns for investors. There must be a reason to buy or sell an asset All valid arguments, incentives, in particular, seem to be at the heart of most. Asset holders in any given market will do so for as long as they see a benefit in doing so. Would you part with a mystical piece of paper that guaranteed you $20,000 per month? Very likely not. You’ll probably attempt to use the worth of the paper to get even more “magic” paper. Several financiers are buying homes with negative cash flow. This occurs when the speculator/landlord must supplement the tenant’s rent in order to meet the property’s carrying expenses. In this case, investors still made money despite a small inconvenience by increasing rents. Holding back causes a severe scarcity in the market, which in turn drives up the price. As prices rise, there is less of a surplus to store, which causes supplies to become even more limited. While prices are dropping, an unexpected influx of stock is common. The motivation to avoid having your gains wiped away lies in the fact that you don’t earn any money until you sell. The cheaper pricing made possible by the larger inventory encourages even more buying. Major trend shifts are more likely to occur with a financialized asset when there is momentum in either way. Most people treat real estate as if it were an investment vehicle, analyzing market forces like supply and demand. There are x persons in need of a home, thus they will place bids on y properties. Investments don’t function that way; rather, their value is determined by how much cash they can be converted into. Due to investors seeking returns through asset inflation, there will never be enough “affordable” homes built. House prices tend to fall as interest rates rise because buyers can’t take advantage of as much debt. In times of crisis, central banks are expected to step in as a “lender of last resort.” Governments shouldn’t offer economic stimulus just because they can, but rather when there has been a sustained shortage of investment. Since the 2008 financial crisis, that is not how things have worked. As expected, rising interest rates stifled lending and drove down housing prices. Nevertheless, Canada lacks the stomach for tough love less than a year later. As a financial liquidity crisis bolstered moral hazard by suggesting credit stimulus was on the horizon, the market is now salivating. The Federal government has also recently increased subsidized demand while also opening the market to international investment only days after deciding it was essential to limit such activity. The message to potential investors is clear: Canada is essentially a house-trading hub. In other words, the motivation to hang onto your inventory is larger than any correction factor at this time since it couldn’t endure a complete year without providing stimulation. Why would anybody sell before your government, which is basically an army of real estate speculators, buys up all the available properties? They are incentivised to artificially inflate the asset in which they have a financial stake. 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Canada housing plans considered vague by BMO

Blogs / Amy / 11 October 2022 / affordable, Canada, Canadian budget, Canadian building industry, Homebuyers, Housing, housing plans, inflation, interest rates, low-cost housing, Real Estate

Canada housing plans considered vague by BMO April 7th witnessed the release of the Canadian budget for the fiscal year 2022-23. Through the budget release, the Canadian government promises to enhance the housing conditions by making it more affordable and cost-efficient. The liberal party committed a few key measures, in case of re-election, that they will include a tax-free savings accounts for the first home for residents of Canada falling under the age of 40 years. A second promise is to double the home buyer text credit from $5000 to $10,000 to save on closing costs. The government has made commitments in order to speed up supply with the inclusion of $4 billion of investment in the housing accelerator fund in order to achieve growth in the annual housing supply. The federal government aims at the creation of 100,000 new, middle-class housing by the year 2024-25 and the conversion of void offices into residential components along side affordable build and repair With such eminent promises by the country’s government, came a warning from the economists’ bench. They called the dream of better and affordable housing in today’s market a dream far-fetched. Despite the Canadian Government’s full-fledged on-paper strategy, the economists are skeptical of such a plan and are calling it an impossible strategy or a political agenda that is not efficient enough to conceive itself. The Economists are reluctant to accept this plan and warn the people, who have hope in their eyes, to beware of the ‘extreme’ housing goals and the risks that could drown them with such a housing plan. Economists stand firm on the view that the federal government lacks an understanding of inflation costs that undergoes double home construction and states that the plan is too dismal to turn into reality. Most economists agree that the new housing plan determines the existing supply level to be negligible while dismissing the fact that one in ten dollars of the economic output of the country is spent on building houses. Here are a few economists who shared their opinions along with the reason why they think the new housing policies are the waves of hot air. Stephen Brown, a senior Canada economist at capital economics, feels that this plan is a demand-weighted strategy and that backfire is imminent. He analyses the situation and believes that for a less number of buyers a demand-oriented strategy could work but in the long-run housing will become expensive, dismissing the whale objective of the new plan. A certain Economist at BMO states the following reasons for their disagreement with the flow of the new housing plans – The skilled laborers and materials for the construction are in a shortage supply due to the fixed capacity of the Canadian building industry. If the production was to be doubled it’d result in a significant rate of inflation dismissing the entire goal of the campaign. It’s easier to talk about the zoning changes than to actually implement them in a real off-paper world. The economist warns about a strong political resistance. The federal government’s interference with the municipal committees will result in abuse of power. In the coming few years, Canada is likely to witness a change in its demographic structure. The millennials are currently peaking their demand needs which will result in low demand in the future. Moreover, the second half of the plan if would ever be conceived and implemented will result in housing for none. <br The said economist was also in high disagreement with the Ontario transit-oriented community project and housing plans. BMO economist titled the strategy as a way of pandering to a higher number of votes. In regards to the new housing plans, Brett House- deputy chief economist at Scotiabank believes ‘Policy efforts to stoke demand will only increase prices. All levels of government need to do the hard work together to enable an increased supply of appropriate housing with related services in Canada’s major cities.’ Angelo Melino, a professor at the University of Toronto, feels ‘You can’t improve affordability by subsidizing purchasers. This will just raise the price of the existing housing stock. Affordability requires an increase in the stock of low-cost housing.’ A chunk of economists praises the housing plans devised by the government as an admirable and an ambitious move but question the supply of workers needed to achieve the targets. Doubling production by cutting the extra costs seems like an intangible plan because of the rooted inflation that can devour the economy. Conclusion With such intricate views on one hand and the ambitious promises of the government, one needs to think if they should get their hopes high, think of this as a political agenda, and use their precious votes next time, or is there a grey area that everybody is missing on? The future is the only answer to all these questions and risks and decisions. Related posts. Canada housing plans considered vague by BMO by admin123 The Canadian Blind Bidding Ban Dilemma by admin123 Hamilton to witness the tallest building: 45 Storey Tower by admin123 Expert’s Reaction to the increasing rates by the Bank of Canada by admin123 Living in Main Floors- A Great matter of importance for Aging Canadians who want a Pleasant Life Ahead by admin123 National home prices historically higher, listings terribly low by admin123

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The Canadian Blind Bidding Ban Dilemma

Blogs / Amy / 11 October 2022 / Canada, Homebuyers, housing plan, housing production, inflation, interest rates, Real Estate, Real estate industry, real estate market

High mortgage rates to overwhelm Canadian housing Canada and The real estate Industry have always walked hand in hand and soared high profits when it came to output. An all-time high housing market burns red with ultimately no sign of cooling down. From 2021 to February 2022 the real estate market in Canada bagged a solid profit because of the purchase of around roughly 552,000 homes. Despite such an increase and heavy profit rate, the real estate industry of Canada is worried about the future market rate of housing in Canada. It has become an ironic situation, with the government promising to double the housing production and cutting the costs to make housing affordable through the release of the fiscal budget meanwhile the market and mortgage rates are hitting an all-time high and are expected to escalate more during near summers. Such a condition really tells that there will not only be a shortage of housing possibilities but also warns about the phase where housing will be available for none. Price hike The end of 2021 concluded around a 19 percent rise in the prices above the borrowing capacity of a median- Canadian household. Such a rate is expected to rise to a 30 percent or more in the near future making housing in Canada a dream far-fetched. The reason for such a hike in pricing is mere because the supply is always low but the demand keeps increasing in the country. Low bank interest rates are just another crackle in the fire that will keep increasing the demand and the mortgage rates along with it. Rising Mortgage Rates The Government of Canada 5 Year Bond closed at the most elevated level in a decade nowadays. Five Year yields are critical to a genuine domain, affecting one of the key contract rates. As a result, Canadians ought to anticipate paying the most elevated contract intrigued in a decade — and these rates are fair getting begun. Bond yields impact the mortgage as well as the interest debt in the real estate industry. The hot red pricing of the 5-year bond yield has become the reason for worry in the estate market because such a bond yield directs the 5 years fixed mortgage. It has been a record, that the Canadian 5-year bond yield has not taken this big a leap since April 2011. Due to such conditions, the Canadian 5-year mortgage rates are also at an all-time high resulting in a 17 percent drop in the buyer estimate. The five-year fixed mortgage was relatively the preferred plan for buyers until a year before but now the buyers will seek new and variable buying options with different ranges of the mortgage. This leaves a gap in the market contributing to higher levels of inflation. Recently the bank hiked 0.5 percent of the interest rates which will invariably result in nothing since the demand soars up but the supply to suffice higher demand is not nearly abundant. A lot of buyers are now indifferent to the price hike since the interest rates are lower even than the pre-pandemic rates. The real estate market will be in a slump as the properties are decreasing and the number of buyers running to buy the estate is high. With this there is the expectation of a solid hike in interest rate which is instigating the buyers to buy in today, colling down an all-time hot-selling real estate market. This would not only result in higher prices and lower demands in the future but also a scarcity of property until the government’s housing plan comes to the rescue in real-time. But is the Government’s housing plan a tangible asset, well the economists say otherwise. An entirely new perspective While the distress of the real estate market is evident Canada’s president Christopher Alexander feels a cooling down of the market won’t happen. In an interview when asked about the rising prices and mortgage rates the Canadian president was heard saying “It will take some froth out, which I think we would all enjoy. But I think the market will adjust demand is still incredibly strong and Canadians really believe in the value of homeownership. So I think that will still continue to see people wanting to buy, just might take them a little bit longer than they had hoped.” Conclusion The fate of housing in Canada is dismal from some perspectives while ambitious from others, the future will only hold the decision of the winning perspective. Related posts. The Canadian Blind Bidding Ban Dilemma by admin123 Hamilton to witness the tallest building: 45 Storey Tower by admin123 Expert’s Reaction to the increasing rates by the Bank of Canada by admin123 Living in Main Floors- A Great matter of importance for Aging Canadians who want a Pleasant Life Ahead by admin123 National home prices historically higher, listings terribly low by admin123 Housing prices kicks off, stuck historically high, but trended lower in January by admin123

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BMO concerned about the collapes in Canadian real estate

Blogs / Amy / 8 October 2022 / Alberta, bank of canada, BMO, BMO Capital Markets, borrowing rates, Canada, Canadian real estate, homeprice, Housing, housing bubbles, housing prices, interest rates, mortgage transactions, mortgages, Real Estate

BMO concerned about the collapes in Canadian real estate Everyone is interested in determining how low real estate prices can go in Canada now that the real estate bubble there has finally started to deflate. Over the course of the weekend, BMO Capital Markets provided clients with an analysis of the topic, including models and historical context. Increasing interest rates will undoubtedly bring about a correction because they will eliminate excessive leverage. Simply to account for the higher borrowing rates, prices will need to fall by a large amount. Concerning how long it will take for the market to recover, the only prior housing bubble in Canada that was nearly this magnitude took 15 years for the market to recover from. Historically, Canadian real estate prices have always adjusted to fundamentals Since the 1980s BMO Research discovered that the cost of housing in Canada has climbed by approximately 3% annually. This is roughly a reflection of inflation, growth in real wages, and lowering interest rates. Remember that low-interest rates handled the majority of the heavy work, so don’t be surprised if it seems like a sharp slope for salaries. Housing often trades at a price that is in line with its liquidity, with the exception of when it’s in the midst of a bubble. People will only pay for something that makes sense to them, to put it in more eloquent terms. This has a direct bearing on the use of leverage in mortgage transactions. The conventional wisdom holds that a reduction in interest rates will make housing more affordable. On the surface, it makes perfect sense: paying less interest means more money can go toward paying down the debt. In point of fact, a decrease in interest rates results in an increase in the amount of leverage available to a buyer. The ability of purchasers to more readily tolerate price increases results in prices rising even more quickly. This is a point that has been emphasised in recent times by the Bank of Canada (BoC), but it appears that many people have ignored it. This will require a more in-depth discussion at another time, but it is essential to comprehend pricing adjustments. The rate of inflation is currently at an all-time high, while mortgage rates have recently fallen to an all-time low. Both of these factors contribute to a faster increase in leverage, which ultimately drives up housing prices. However, according to BMO, a third of today’s housing prices are the result of price fluctuations that have occurred during the past two years alone. That is far higher than low rates, and it is approximately ten times the historic average rate of growth. “We’ve long maintained that demographic and supply-side fundamentals have driven price gains, even in the early stages of COVID-19 alongside some economic adjustments. But, as we warned early last year, more recent price behavior has been driven by excess demand, market psychology and froth,” explained Robert Kavcic, a senior economist at BMO. Increasing interest rates will reduce some of that excess, which is already dampening the enthusiasm of speculators. “So, when we speak of a housing correction, it’s not a question of if, but where, how much, and for how long?” he said. Canadian Real Estate Is 38 Percent Overpriced And Requires A Substantial Decline Just To Accommodate Interest Rates How much will the market for Canadian real estate eventually correct? Home prices are approximately 38 percent overvalued, according to BMO’s estimations; the bank does not have a crystal ball. That does not necessarily mean that a correction of 38 percent is on the horizon. However, the level of overvaluation is so high that prices need to reduce in order to maintain the same level of affordability. Raised interest rates are nearly invariably the method that is used to eliminate excess price gains in housing bubbles. “After leaving policy too loose for too long, psychology and affordability have already been tested by just 75 bps of Bank of Canada tightening, and we expect another 125 bps by year-end,” warns BMO. In addition to putting a stop to speculative thinking, a rise in interest rates alters the perspective of buyers and investors. According to BMO, housing prices for purchasers go from being priced with mortgages at 1.5 percent to being priced with mortgages between 3.75 percent and 5.4 percent. In the event that housing prices remain flat and incomes continue to rise, prices will need to fall by between 10 and 20 percent for affordability to remain at its current level. That level may not have been able to be maintained over the long term, which would have meant that prices would have to go further lower. Investors face an additional challenge in the form of a reduction in attractiveness when there are higher financing expenses. According to projections provided by BMO, cap rates, often known as the rent collected from being a landlord, would need to increase to between 4 and 5 percent. That is a situation that investors encounter more frequently than not. At the moment, a significant number of investor landlords are not even receiving sufficient income to meet their expenses. They wind up increasing their rents out of their own pocket in exchange for the rise in the value of their home. Up until this point, it has been successful since prices have gone up, but if interest rates were to go down, this wouldn’t be the case. A twenty percent drop in price is necessary in order to bring cap rates back to reasonable levels if there are no gains. At the national level, a market breakdown, of course, varies greatly from place to place. Comparatively speaking, markets such as Alberta have values that aren’t as stretched as those in Ontario. Real Estate Corrections In Canada Took Up To 15 Years To Recover The length of time that a decline in housing prices lasted was extremely variable due to the absence of any predetermined guidelines regarding the matter. In order to

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Positive and negative impact of taxes on preconstruction home resale

Blogs / Amy / 8 October 2022 / budget, condo markets, Condos, construction loans, contract sellers, Homebuyers, new homes, non-permanent resident holder, pre-construction, pre-construction condos, Real Estate, Resale homes, tax incentives, tax law

Positive and negative impact of taxes on preconstruction home resale In the event that a construction project is scrapped, it is certain to garner coverage in the media. Even though constructors and developers do everything in their power to avoid dissatisfying their clients, it is a fact that projects do occasionally have to be cancelled, and the reasons behind these cancellations are typically very compelling. When looking for a new place to call home, one does not necessarily have to settle for buying an existing home or condominium on the secondary market. Investing in a home while it is still in the pre-construction phase is another choice. Homebuyers can take advantage of this option to move into a brand-new home that is “move-in ready” and features personalized interior design accents. Having a home warranty is also a beneficial addition, so keep that in mind. Buying a home that is still under construction, on the other hand, involves a different process than buying an existing home on the market. The purchase of a pre-construction unit is distinct from the purchase of a unit that has already been built, and prospective buyers of pre-construction units are obligated to educate themselves on the various disclosures and safeguards available to them before making a purchase. When you have found a pre-construction home project, it is absolutely necessary for you to investigate the builder who will be responsible for the project. Before committing to buying a home from them, it is essential to do background research on their track record and determine how quickly they finish projects. Visiting one of their finished projects and talking to the people who live there is a simple way to gather this information. It’s possible that the payment schedule will make it impossible for some people in Canada to pay. Deposits of twenty percent are customarily required when purchasing a pre-construction property (there is no regulation around this, and the deposit is set at the discretion of the builder). Our industry constructs hundreds of housing projects in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) each year, resulting in the delivery of approximately 40,000 new housing units. The only exception to this rule is cancellations. According to Altus Group, which tracks the data on new home sales, approximately 13.5 projects have been scrapped each year on average since 2010. This amounts to a total of 148 projects that have been scrapped since 2010. By the end of November in 2021, 12 projects had been scrapped, which is about the same number as during a typical month but significantly fewer than the 21 projects that were scrapped during the worst year, 2014. Consumers need to be aware that there is a possibility of their purchase being cancelled when they buy pre-construction units, despite the fact that these units come at favourable prices. Prospective homeowners who do not feel comfortable with the risk should purchase a unit that has already been built or one on the resale market; however, the price will not be as advantageous as it would be otherwise. Many different things can lead to the termination of a project. Sometimes, not enough of a project’s units are sold for the developer to be able to move forward with the project. In other instances, the builder or developer is unable to obtain financing for the project, or the costs of the project that were projected to be incurred escalate to a level that makes it impossible for the project to be economically viable. In addition, the approval process for some projects can be drawn out, and other projects are never sanctioned. The enhanced disclosure section of the Tarion Addendum, which is the standard form attached to the purchase and sales agreement for pre-construction sales, outlines all of these unfavourable and improbable contingencies in detail. The document that constitutes the agreement also specifies payment schedules, dates of occupancy, and grounds for termination. Buyers of pre-construction units should carefully read their purchase agreement and have it reviewed by a legal professional to ensure that they have a complete understanding of all of the terms and conditions, as well as any possible dangers. Related posts. Expert’s Reaction to the increasing rates by the Bank of Canada by admin123 Living in Main Floors- A Great matter of importance for Aging Canadians who want a Pleasant Life Ahead by admin123 National home prices historically higher, listings terribly low by admin123 Housing prices kicks off, stuck historically high, but trended lower in January by admin123 Soleil Condominiums by Mattamay to beam in Milton by admin123 As home prices rise, Ford wants to approve developments as soon as possible by admin123

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Highest Inflation in Canada since MC Hammer’s 2 Legit 2 Quit release

Blogs / Amy / 8 October 2022 / BMO, Canada, Canadian housing, Canadian real estate, Canadian Real Estate Association, Consumer Price Index, Greater Toronto Area, home prices, Real Estate, real estate market, toronto

Highest Inflation in Canada since MC Hammer’s 2 Legit 2 Quit release Households in Canada are currently facing the highest level of inflation seen in a whole generation. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for the month of April was just released by Statistics Canada (Stats Can). The agency places the recent acceleration, which sent growth to the highest level since the early 1990s, on the shoulders of the need for food and shelter. Although there are those who are predicting that growth has reached its peak, leading analysts on Wall Street do not see this happening in the upcoming report. The inflation rate in Canada has reached 6.8 percent, marking its highest level since 1991. The annual rate of inflation in Canada went up once more, although the rate of increase was lower than in recent months. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew at an annual rate of 6.8 percent in April, up just 0.1 points from the previous month. It had the highest read count ever recorded, dating back to September 1991. To put it another way, if you are under the age of 30, you have never witnessed how your cost of living has increased. Inflation in Canada was Driven by the Cost of Food and Shelter During the Past Month According to Stat Can, the majority of the most recent increase can be attributed to increases in the cost of food and housing. Food prices rose by 9.7 percent in April, marking the period since September 1981 during which they have increased at the fastest rate. According to the agency, this marked the fifth consecutive month in which the food component scored more than 5 points. As a result of disruptions in the supply chain, including restrictions on exports, it is not likely to drop anytime soon. The majority of Canadians are aware that the cost of housing is going up, but the increase in CPI is not due to the reason you might think it is. The agency reported that the annual rate of inflation for housing costs reached its highest level since 1983 in the month of April, reaching 7.4 percent. The majority of the increases can be attributed to higher fuel costs, such as those for heating and cooling. The costs of home replacement for homeowners are also climbing at a lofty rate of 13.0 percent, which is a proxy for new homes. “The prior boom in home prices is now aggressively working its way into CPI, with new home prices and “other owned accommodation expenses” (mostly real estate fees) the two single biggest drivers last month,” said Douglas Porter, Chief Economist at BMO. The Next Inflation Report Is Expected to Show Rapid Acceleration In April, the annual growth rate only increased by 0.1 points, which is a tenth of the increase in CPI that was seen in March. Although this may point to a moderation in future expansion, the consensus on Bay Street this morning is not to that effect. BMO Capital Markets issued a warning to its clients that the relatively slow month was just a temporary blip. According to Porter’s explanation, “… this is the relative calm before another downpour in next month’s report, as gasoline prices are tracking a double-digit increase for May alone.” Additionally, the National Bank of Canada (NBF) issued a warning that the tight labour market poses a threat to inflation. According to Matthieu Arseneau, the deputy chief economist at the National Bank of Canada (NBF), “In an environment where the labor market is extremely tight with the unemployment rate at a record low, workers are well-positioned to ask for compensation, which should translate into relatively high inflation in services,” In addition, “For these reasons, the Central Bank must continue its fast-paced process of normalizing interest rates, which are still far too accommodating for the economic situation.” When allowed to continue, high inflation evolves into a problem that is both more extensive and more challenging to address. Once wages start adjusting to the levels of inflation, the potential for “transitory” employment will no longer exist. The general trend is for higher wages to result in higher consumer prices, which can contribute to higher levels of inflation. Getting out of a downward spiral of inflation is extremely challenging, and the top brass at RBC has warned about the issue. Related posts. Expert’s Reaction to the increasing rates by the Bank of Canada by admin123 Living in Main Floors- A Great matter of importance for Aging Canadians who want a Pleasant Life Ahead by admin123 National home prices historically higher, listings terribly low by admin123 Housing prices kicks off, stuck historically high, but trended lower in January by admin123 Soleil Condominiums by Mattamay to beam in Milton by admin123 As home prices rise, Ford wants to approve developments as soon as possible by admin123

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Growth in Canadian real estate prices may stall within the next three months

Blogs / Amy / 8 October 2022 / BMO, Canada, Canadian housing, Canadian real estate, Canadian Real Estate Association, Canadian Real Estate Market, Greater Toronto Area, home prices, Real Estate, real estate market, SNLR, toronto

Growth in Canadian real estate prices may stall within the next three months After being derailed by higher rates, the record run of the Canadian real estate market is quickly coming to an end. According to a recent research note published by BMO, the national sales to new listings ratio (SNLR) decreased in the month of April. This indicator acts as a leading price indicator by measuring supply in relation to demand. According to BMO, the real estate market in Canada can anticipate prices to compete with those in the country’s largest market, which may see price growth disappear within the next three months. Inventory Levels in Canadian Real Estate Markets Are Almost at a Balanced Level The sale to new listings ratio, also known as the SNLR, is a method for evaluating the relative levels of inventory. It is the proportion of homes that have been sold relative to the total number of homes that have been recently listed for sale. When the SNLR is higher, it indicates that there is less space for inventory in comparison to the amount of buying activity. The Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) has collected data that demonstrates an abrupt decline in the ratio. In April, the SNLR came in at 66 percent, which is significantly lower than the average of 76 percent seen over the course of the previous year. According to BMO, the market is on the verge of becoming balanced as a result of this healthy decline. At the national level, there has been a sudden transition from a hot market to a balanced market. However, the Greater Toronto Area market has the lowest ratio of any market in the country. Surprisingly, Canada has the weakest relative demand for real estate despite having one of the largest real estate bubbles in the world. The Real Estate Market in Toronto Is the Biggest in Canada, but It’s Beginning to Level Off According to BMO, one of the most important real estate markets to keep an eye on is Greater Toronto. The seasonally adjusted national listing ratio (SNLR) for Canada’s largest real estate market dropped to just 45 percent in April, putting it dangerously close to the bottom of a balanced market and inching closer to a seller’s market. According to the findings of the bank’s study, the regional SNLR has been on average 70 percent over the course of the past year. The disappearance of the Home price growth in 3 months The industry utilizes SNLR to measure the price growth in homes and this measure is mainly confirmed by the BMO. “Decades of history show that this ratio is an excellent leading indicator for average transaction prices, leading prices by about three months,” said BMO chief economist Douglas Porter. “…what the ratio is now telling us is that prices are about to go from 20%+ gains to a sudden stall. And that’s assuming the sales/listings ratio doesn’t fall further in coming months.” As interest rate hikes have only gotten us halfway to neutral, it is likely that the SNLR will fall even further. At the beginning of this week, economists from a number of different financial institutions issued a warning to investors that the slowdown in the market is just getting started. Related posts. Expert’s Reaction to the increasing rates by the Bank of Canada by admin123 Living in Main Floors- A Great matter of importance for Aging Canadians who want a Pleasant Life Ahead by admin123 National home prices historically higher, listings terribly low by admin123 Housing prices kicks off, stuck historically high, but trended lower in January by admin123 Soleil Condominiums by Mattamay to beam in Milton by admin123 As home prices rise, Ford wants to approve developments as soon as possible by admin123

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The Canadian Blind Bidding Ban Dilemma

Blogs / Amy / 4 August 2022 / blind bidding, property prices, Real Estate

The Canadian Blind Bidding Ban Dilemma Before getting into the ban of blind bidding in Canada let us first understand what we mean by blind bidding. What does a blind bid mean? Blind bidding is a method of bidding for a property without knowing the size of opposing bids. When a property is listed and an offer date is set, a blind offer is made. On the offer date, all interested parties gather at the property or at the brokerage of the listing agent to make their best offer. You’ll add the price you’re willing to pay as well as any conditions you have or are willing to eliminate in your offer (such as the home inspection or financing). Because no one knows how much the other potential buyers are offering, it’s dubbed a ‘blind offer.’ As a result, you only have one chance to determine what it will take to ‘win’ the property. Thus some say it’s one of the factors contributing to skyrocketing property prices. How is it different from normal bidding? In most other bidding wars, you’ll have the chance to go back and forth a few times to try to outbid the other possible purchasers. However, there is no transparency with a blind offer. It’s like high-stakes poker, but with real estate as the stakes. You have no idea what your competitors will offer, thus you have no notion where you stand with your own proposal The main disadvantage of blind bidding Because there is no disclosure of what others may be proposing, the ‘winning’ offer maybe thousands of dollars higher than it has to be due to a lack of transparency. For instance, Buyer A might offer $15,000 more than the asking price, Buyer B might offer $18,000 more, and Buyer C might offer $40,000 more. Instead, Buyer C could have won by offering just $18,001 more than the asking price, putting them out $21,999. As a result of the lack of transparency, Buyer C felt compelled to make a hyper-offer in order to win the bidding war. Thus in Canada where blind bidding is more common, the Government is looking to ban this system to protect its buyers. The issue of blind bidding in Canada Bidding wars, particularly blind bidding, have recently come under scrutiny as Canadians become increasingly disillusioned with the home-buying process. The blind bidding method, according to critics in the real estate market, allows for manipulation by bad faith realtors as well as out-of-control bidding situations that push up prices. Finally, they claim that blind bidding is not in the consumer’s best interests. These opponents frequently advocate for the implementation of a more transparent open bidding mechanism. The Canadian government is considering prohibiting blind bidding. The proposed restriction would put an end to the practice of blind bidding across Canada’s provinces and territory. The purpose, according to the government, is to promote openness in the real estate acquisition process, prohibit buyers from overpaying excessively, and keep home prices from soaring. So why are some industries skeptical about this actually becoming the rule? According to a recent analysis, proponents of blind bidding think that this type of bidding does not lead to price increases in residential real estate, however moving to open bidding in a hot real estate market could worsen price escalation. Housing prices have risen quicker in some nations where open bidding or open discussions are permitted, such as Australia, New Zealand, and Sweden, than in Canada, according to the analysis. According to the paper, “it is difficult to establish that blind bidding is connected with higher residential real-estate values” based on recent price fluctuations. While Canada has seen some of the fastest real-estate price increases in the world, open bidding for homes in New Zealand has seen an even faster rise. If numerous purchasers pay more than necessary for homes for a while based on the sale prices of similar properties, demand will eventually be satisfied, and the remaining buyers in the market will either refuse to pay or will be unable to pay prices at the current level. By definition, market value exists when there are enough buyers willing to pay the newly raised prices, and the market is operating freely and properly. When prices grow to the point that no one can or will buy a home, prices begin to plummet. This form of market overheating is just momentary. Only a small percentage of properties receive offers that far outnumber all other competing offers. It is a large percentage in some places during hot sellers’ markets, but it is statistically a small minority and thus not a major driver of rising housing values over time. We don’t always have a strong seller’s market. Even if prohibiting blind bidding had some effect on home values, it would do so only during the few times when the bulk of homes receives competitive offers. For long periods of time in various Canadian cities, severe sellers’ markets have persisted. But now in most Canadian local markets, intense sellers’ markets, in which supply falls well short of demand, are uncommon. But the strongest argument given by the proponents is the seller’s right to choose how their property should get sold. Why are open offers not the solutions? When purchasers don’t know what other bidders are offering (as is the case in the blind bidding system), they just make their best offer. Today, there are no bidding wars as in reality, now there is no bidding. Based on the level of competition, buyers make their best offer. When there’s nothing to bid against, you can’t bid. Buyers compete against one another in open offers. Open offers, by definition, generate an auction and lead to bidding wars. Conclusion The final sale price under a closed offer system is sometimes significantly greater than the second highest offer received. That does not necessarily imply that the successful buyer paid more than they “should have.” It simply indicates that the next highest buyer either did not

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