fbpx

HOMEPORTAL

homeprices

Reuters survey predicts rising Canadian housing prices due to high demand

Reuters survey predicts rising Canadian housing prices due to high demand According to a Reuters survey of real estate experts, Canadian house prices are expected to decline by approximately 9 percent this year before rising again in 2024 and beyond as purchasers wager interest rates have already peaked and demand for housing remains high. After skyrocketing by over 50% from the onset of the COVID epidemic in early 2020, Canadian house prices have declined by roughly 15% since March due to the Bank of Canada’s quick rate hike from near-zero early last year to 4.25% in January. Home prices in Canada have been on the increase again this year, increasing by 17% according to one metric, since the Canadian central bank decided for a conditional freeze on rate hikes in January. In a survey conducted between May 15 and June 5 by Reuters, 11 industry experts anticipated that house values would drop by around 9% in 2023, which is less severe than the 12% drop predicted in a poll conducted three months ago and the 12% loss in April from a year earlier reported by the Canadian Real Estate Association. The median forecast from the most recent survey predicted that property prices will grow by 2% in 2024 and by 4% in 2025. After a year-long recession, Canada’s housing market is on the upswing in the spring of 2023. As RBC’s associate chief economist Robert Hogue said, “Demand-supply conditions suddenly appear tight.” “Sellers are once again in control in most major markets as rising demand and falling supply have driven prices up and supply down. Now that the Bank of Canada has halted its aggressive rate raise campaign, buyers’ confidence is fast returning to both markets. Despite widespread predictions that the Bank of Canada would leave rates unchanged all year, another Reuters poll found that if economic growth remains robust and inflation remains high, the BoC may be forced to raise rates again. There may be no relief for rising costs if immigration rates continue to rise with demand. Experts who were asked a follow-up question predicted a small increase in delinquency rates among highly indebted families in 2018. Despite efforts, “Canada’s housing affordability problem is not easing,” said Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Capital Markets. While many may advocate for a supply-side solution, we’ve always held that it’s naive to imagine that a sector operating at full capacity can suddenly quadruple production, resulting in a glut of new units that drives down prices and rents. Related posts 27 June 2023 Reuters survey predicts rising Canadian housing prices due to high demand 21 June 2023 Canadian Real Estate Correction Continues, Sales Rise Temporarily: Oxford Econ. Recent Immigrants Cannot Support High Home Prices in Canada After a temporary lull, the real estate market… 24 May 2023 Recent Immigrants Cannot Support High Home Prices in Canada Recent Immigrants Cannot Support High Home Prices in Canada Canada’s population growth is contributing… 16 May 2023 Toronto’s Best Investment Areas for Families Toronto’s Best Investment Areas for Families Don’t be fooled by The Six’s huge towers, high-rises,… 11 May 2023 Sales and prices in Toronto’s real estate market are soaring Sales and prices in Toronto’s real estate market are soaring After last year’s record meltdown,… 11 May 2023 Rise in Toronto’s Home Building Costs Rise in Toronoto’s Home Building Price Even if inflation in Canada has slowed, the price of constructing… 05 May 2023 Toronto and Vancouver Home Prices Rise Like Mortgage Credit Toronto and Vancouver Home Prices Rise Like Mortgage Credit Home prices increased dramatically last month…

Reuters survey predicts rising Canadian housing prices due to high demand Read More »

Most Canadian peak purchasers with a low downpayment are underwater

Most Canadian peak purchasers with a low downpayment are underwater Peak purchasers in Canada are in for a difficult time as the real estate bubble bursts swiftly due to rising interest rates. According to the latest numbers released by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA), the national market peaked that year, in March. We calculated how much equity purchasers from that month would have accrued as of the present. Most people who bought a house at the pinnacle of the market last month are already underwater. NEGATIVE EQUITY MORTGAGES AND LOAN-TO-VALUE RATIOS RATIOS When the mortgage’s LTV is more than the property’s current value, the borrower is said to be “underwater.” In layman’s terms? In the event of default, the home’s worth wouldn’t be enough to pay out the mortgage. The situation is complicated for the lenders because they have no collateral for their loans. Canadian mortgage borrowers typically have large amounts of equity, leading to low loan-to-value (LTV) ratios. A fee must be paid by underwater homeowners in order to sell their property. No matter what the value of the home used as collateral for the loan, they are still responsible for paying down the remaining balance. Lenders must make up the difference by providing additional funds. That doesn’t take into account any ancillary expenses associated with the sale (such as commissions for real estate agents, legal fees, moving charges, etc.). Our focus today is on the markets where first-time peek purchasers would be at a significant disadvantage. In this case, we use the all-time high in the country, which occurred in March of 2022, just before rates of interest began to climb. The majority of our mortgages are high-ratio loans that require little to no down payment. Markets where the median price of a property is over $1 million often require a traditional mortgage down payment of at least 20%. Increased safety net for creditors and debtors during economic downturns. INDICATIVE OF A NORMAL SUMMIT PURCHASER NEARLY 10% UNDERWATER ON CANADIAN PROPERTY Since peaking in March, the price of a composite benchmark home has dropped significantly. In October, the average home’s price dropped to $735,400, a drop of 15.3% (-$132,900) from its peak. If they bought at the peak, a buyer who only put down the minimum would be 9.7 per cent ($71,100) in the red. To get out of the agreement, they would need to pay higher than they first put down. When looking at the key indices, the majority of the Canadian real estate markets (55%) share the same boat. If the same trend seen in October continues into November, investors who bought into 75% of the major indexes would be in the red. Homebuyers in Ontario should anticipate spending up to six figures if they need to cover repairs on a property they’re purchasing. When it comes to real estate, Ontario was once at the forefront, but now it’s at the bottom. The average buyer in Kitchener-Waterloo was $146,500 in the red in October. In second and third place, respectively, were Cambridge (-$140,000) and London-St. Thomas (-$137,000). Making six figures by selling a house in a small city at least an hour from Toronto sounds, to put it mildly, painful. CANADA PROPERTY VALUES A market’s lack of negative equity is no guarantee of success. Vancouver ($138,100), the Lower Mainland ($100,600), and the rest of British Columbia ($99,700) indexes would have the highest remaining equity. Even still, in March of 2022, the average home in those areas cost well over a million dollars. That means the bare minimum required for a down payment was $200,000. However, the amount of equity is less than what is required for a typical mortgage, therefore it is not necessarily a profit. That can create complications if you decide to switch mortgage lenders. SOME CHEAPER MARKETS HAVE CONTINUED TO GROW AS CREDIT HAS BEEN MADE MORE AVAILABLE THERE Despite the general trend downwards in the real estate market since March, not all major areas have experienced declines. Equity contributions increased in Prince Edward Island, Bancroft, and Newfoundland. All of these communities have median home prices that are less than $500,000, making them accessible to a wide range of buyers. It’s debatable whether it’s worth that much. *Markets, where the composite benchmark price was over $1,000,000 in March 2022 just, weren’t eligible for high-proportion mortgages, and consequently required a 20% downpayment, leaving most of Canada’s peak real estate buyers underwater. The only people who should be worried about a company with negative equity are the investors. Large mortgage companies rarely evict customers who are current on their payments. They are only interested in the interest payments, not the actual residence. Default is not a major problem if you want to stay in the house for 10 years or more. The banks are safe too because the loans are typically guaranteed with only a modest down payment. It’s an inconvenience, but the borrower forked over a fat insurance premium to cover the bank. However, the borrower is still responsible for the entire balance. If the investors’ business case shifts, they are in much more of a bind. Many would-be landlords chose negative equity investments with the expectation that future gains would cover initial outlays. Rising rents should assist, but interest rates are rising and equity is being eroded at an alarming rate. As a result, some investors may decide to cash out or double their bets. Since investors accounted for a quarter to a third of the market, substantial losses are possible. Especially considering additional obstacles, such as international mortgage legislation and increasing interest rates. The Bank of Canada issued a warning about the increasing difficulty of navigating the current level of risk just yesterday. It won’t be a massive problem, but it also won’t be simple. Related posts. How does a home warranty differ from an insurance policy? Read More Deposit Protection Eases Homebuying Stress Read More Importance of the performance audit Read More How can Home Warranty Guard You Against Unexpected

Most Canadian peak purchasers with a low downpayment are underwater Read More »

A Drop in price of new-construction homes by $60,000 in January

A Drop in price of new-construction homes by $60,000 in January In comparison to December, the price of new construction homes in the Toronto region was slightly lower in January. This was due to the fact that the number of condos sold reached an all-time high, while the availability of single-family homes continued to decrease. According to the data provided by the Home Builders Association, the median price of a single-family home in January rose to $1.77 million, which represents a year-over-year increase of 30 percent from the previous month’s figure but a decrease of nearly $60,000 from the previous December figure. According to a report that was released on Thursday by the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD), the number of townhomes, semi-detached, and detached houses that were sold in December represented a 67 percent annual decrease from January 2021, and it was 33 percent lower than the 10-year average. In the meantime, the launch of nine new condominium projects led to sales of a record number of 2,274 highrise, midrise, and stacked townhouse units in the month of January. This figure is more than double the 10-year average and 232 percent higher than sales in the same month the previous year. According to the findings of the study, the average cost of a recently constructed condo has risen to $1.15 million, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 13 percent from the previous figure. The benchmark price that was established in December is approximately $33,000 lower than this price. At the end of the previous month, there were only 550 single-family homes that were either in the pre-construction, construction, or recently built stages that were available on the market. It was a significant decrease from the 15,000 homes per month that was typical during the decade spanning from the 2000s to the 2009s. This represented a drop of approximately 10% from the levels that existed before the pandemic. According to BILD senior vice-president Justin Sherwood,“What we’re seeing is smaller and smaller releases on single-family (units) just based on the availability of serviced land in the GTA.” Although there will be some new supply in the spring, those smaller project releases are likely to continue as “land supply is tight just about everywhere,” he said. All you have to do is take a look at the number of single-family homes that are currently on the market. It’s 550. Ten years ago, there were 5,000 of them. Sherwood stated that there were over 20,000 in any given month when he worked there twenty years ago. In general, the supply is only a third of what it should be in aggregate, and it does not even exist for single-family homes. Since December, the inventory of condos available for purchase has seen a slight increase thanks to new project launches in the past month. According to Ed Jegg, who is in charge of the analytics team at Altus Group, which is the company that compiles the industry statistics, this still only leaves 2.9 months of supply based on the average sales over the past 12 months. According to him, a well-balanced market would have a supply that is sufficient for nine to twelve months. Instead, the inventory has dropped to a level that is roughly half of what it was in the years 2011-2016. The average condo unit was 926 square feet in size, and the average price per square foot for a condo was $1,243. Related posts. Expert’s Reaction to the increasing rates by the Bank of Canada by admin123 Living in Main Floors- A Great matter of importance for Aging Canadians who want a Pleasant Life Ahead by admin123 National home prices historically higher, listings terribly low by admin123 Housing prices kicks off, stuck historically high, but trended lower in January by admin123 Soleil Condominiums by Mattamay to beam in Milton by admin123 As home prices rise, Ford wants to approve developments as soon as possible by admin123

A Drop in price of new-construction homes by $60,000 in January Read More »

A Drop in price of new-construction homes by $60,000 in January

A Drop in price of new-construction homes by $60,000 in January In comparison to December, the price of new construction homes in the Toronto region was slightly lower in January. This was due to the fact that the number of condos sold reached an all-time high, while the availability of single-family homes continued to decrease. According to the data provided by the Home Builders Association, the median price of a single-family home in January rose to $1.77 million, which represents a year-over-year increase of 30 percent from the previous month’s figure but a decrease of nearly $60,000 from the previous December figure. According to a report that was released on Thursday by the Building Industry and Land Development Association (BILD), the number of townhomes, semi-detached, and detached houses that were sold in December represented a 67 percent annual decrease from January 2021, and it was 33 percent lower than the 10-year average. In the meantime, the launch of nine new condominium projects led to sales of a record number of 2,274 highrise, midrise, and stacked townhouse units in the month of January. This figure is more than double the 10-year average and 232 percent higher than sales in the same month the previous year. According to the findings of the study, the average cost of a recently constructed condo has risen to $1.15 million, representing a year-over-year increase of approximately 13 percent from the previous figure. The benchmark price that was established in December is approximately $33,000 lower than this price. At the end of the previous month, there were only 550 single-family homes that were either in the pre-construction, construction, or recently built stages that were available on the market. It was a significant decrease from the 15,000 homes per month that was typical during the decade spanning from the 2000s to the 2009s. This represented a drop of approximately 10% from the levels that existed before the pandemic. According to BILD senior vice-president Justin Sherwood,“What we’re seeing is smaller and smaller releases on single-family (units) just based on the availability of serviced land in the GTA.” Although there will be some new supply in the spring, those smaller project releases are likely to continue as “land supply is tight just about everywhere,” he said. All you have to do is take a look at the number of single-family homes that are currently on the market. It’s 550. Ten years ago, there were 5,000 of them. Sherwood stated that there were over 20,000 in any given month when he worked there twenty years ago. In general, the supply is only a third of what it should be in aggregate, and it does not even exist for single-family homes. Since December, the inventory of condos available for purchase has seen a slight increase thanks to new project launches in the past month. According to Ed Jegg, who is in charge of the analytics team at Altus Group, which is the company that compiles the industry statistics, this still only leaves 2.9 months of supply based on the average sales over the past 12 months. According to him, a well-balanced market would have a supply that is sufficient for nine to twelve months. Instead, the inventory has dropped to a level that is roughly half of what it was in the years 2011-2016. The average condo unit was 926 square feet in size, and the average price per square foot for a condo was $1,243. Related posts. Expert’s Reaction to the increasing rates by the Bank of Canada by admin123 Living in Main Floors- A Great matter of importance for Aging Canadians who want a Pleasant Life Ahead by admin123 National home prices historically higher, listings terribly low by admin123 Housing prices kicks off, stuck historically high, but trended lower in January by admin123 Soleil Condominiums by Mattamay to beam in Milton by admin123 As home prices rise, Ford wants to approve developments as soon as possible by admin123

A Drop in price of new-construction homes by $60,000 in January Read More »